System Dynamics
Systems Thinking

Centro de Conhecimento

Que é Systems Thinking? Definição

Systems Thinking é um abordagem para estudar e os sistemas controlando de complex feedback, tais como um encontram nos corporaçõs e em outros sistemas sociais. No fato foi usado descrever praticamente cada sorte de feedback system.

System Dynamics é mais ou menos mesmo que Systems Thinking, mas emfatiza o uso de ferramentas da computador-simulação.

O termo sistema significa um grupo interdependente das coisas que dão forma a um teste padrão unified. O gabarito consulta à situação de X que afeta Y, e Y por sua vez que afeta o X. Talvez através de uma corrente das causas e dos efeitos. Se não pode estudar a ligação entre X e Y e, independentemente, a ligação entre Y e X e predizer como o sistema se comportará. Somente o estudo de feedback system inteiro conduzirá para corrigir resultados.

Que é System Dynamics?

System Dynamics é baseado em Systems Thinking, mas em tomadas as etapas adicionais de construir e de testar um modelo da simulação de computador. O campo de System Dynamics tornou-se inicialmente do livro “dinâmica industrial” do Jay W. Forrester.

Etapas na metodologia de System Dynamics

1. Identifique um problema,
2. Desenvolva uma hipótese dinâmica que explica a causa do problema,
3. Construa um modelo da simulação de computador do sistema na raiz do problema,
4. Teste o modelo para estar certo que reproduz o comportamento visto em real world,
5. Planeje e teste nas políticas alternativas modelo que aliviam o problema,
6. Execute a solução.

Frequentemente estas etapas têm que ser revistas e refinado, indo para trás para uma etapa mais adiantada. Por exemplo, o primeiro problema identificado pode ser somente um sintoma de um problema mais grande imóvel.

Aplicações típicas de System Dynamics

• estratégia e planeamento corporativo
• desenvolvimento process do negócio
• gerência e política públicas
• modelar biológico e médico
• energia e as circunstâncias
• desenvolvimento da teoria nas ciências naturais e sociais
• tomada de decisão dinâmica
• dinâmica não-linear complexa

Livro: John Sterman -  Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking.

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