Time Frame in Scenario Planning?

Scenario Planning
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Ade
Supply chain Analyst, United Kingdom

Time Frame in Scenario Planning?

A scenario consist of a statement of an end state and a story explaining how the end state has developed, together with the underlying logic of external environment and internal forces in the industry / firm.
Did a write up on scenario planning but got it confused at a point with forecasting through provision of historical data... Found it kind of convenient to predict the future based on the occurences in the past.
I would appreciate if someone that has a hands on experience of scenario planning explains, how do you arrive at the time frame determination and how specific are their scenarios about the future. Many thanks, Ade

  Jozef, Netherlands
 

Scenario Planning Criteria

A scenario always has an end stage and a begin stage. In between are either steps or a continuum, say “stages”. Every stage always has 4 dimensions: time, place, quality and quantity.
When comparing scenario’s, write down the criteria first. Vary only ONE dimension per scenario, thus avoiding results that can not be tracked down to a singe variable. Painstaking labour? Yes. Profitable? Often!

  Feigelbinder, Germany
 

Scenario Planning and Story Telling

It's a good idea to combine Scenario Planning with Story Telling....

  Greg Kington, USA
 

Scenario Plannning - avoid forecasting

One way to avoid forecasting is to explain at the beginning that no-one knows the future. And that the purpose of scena...

 

More on Scenario Planning:
Summary
Forum
Scenario Building Elements
What is a Scenario? Definition
👀Time Frame in Scenario Planning?
Why Scenario Planning is Important
Embracing Complexity
🔥Exploring Possible Strategic Directions
Scenario Planning Instruments
Uses of Scenario Planning
Decision makers disagree
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