Technological Discontinuities: Jumping the S-curve

S-Curves > Forum Log in

Technological Discontinuities: Jumping the S-curve
Gary Wong, Consultant, Canada

I find S-Curves useful in explaining technological discontinuities.
Consider two S-Curves along a timeline, the existing one that has been in operation for sometime and a new one that is just beginning to emerge. The zone of interest is the "bubble" formed where the existing curve is on its downward slope and meets the new curve rising up.
Scrutinizing is watching the existing in decline and reading/hearing/observing what is emerging to take its place.
A recent example is the decline of the DVD industry due to the popularity of online movie streaming. The disruptive force here is technology, essentially the ability to move broadband data across the Internet. Netflix read the change and responded; Blockbuster Video didn't and died.
The key is knowing what should be on your "radar screen" and then tuning in the weak signals. Scrutinizing will lead to new mental models. We call this process: Jumping the S-curve.



  Do you wish to study further? You can learn more from the summary, forum, discussions, lessons, courses, training, instructions, expert tips, best practices and education sources. Register.  

Special Interest Group Leader

You here

More on S-Curves
Best Practices

Expert Tips


About 12manage | Advertising | Link to us | Privacy | Terms of Service
Copyright 2018 12manage - The Executive Fast Track. V14.1 - Last updated: 22-2-2018. All names tm by their owners.