Why Black Swans are Unnoticed

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Why Black Swans are Unnoticed
Arif ur Rehman, Professor, Pakistan

Imran Khan is sweeping the political ‘show castles’ as none could have thought or dreamed of a year ago. He has described his yesterday’s rally in Lahore as a ‘tsunami’ – a tsunami it was -- and ripples are being felt from Washington to Tokyo, from Moscow to London.
The Black Swan is a loner and tends to be ignored because of its own ‘scarcity of numbers’, and oft-times kept outside of the ‘ken of interests and dialogues’ because the corporate environment thinks its presence wouldn't really matter. Others tend to forget it really exists but when it raises its beautiful head atop a long, sinewy neck heads turn.
The Black Swan is a force to reckon with, a force where forces need to unfurl and merge with the ripples formed as it glides ‘swanningly’ through waters, be they calm or boisterous.

Black Swans are Like a Tsunami
kvssiyer, Consultant, India
A tsunami is rare and powerful enough to be remembered for ever. So is the case with the Black Swans.
Also like a tsunami, Black Swans are not spontaneous but the result of gradual developments over time. Both happen and are detected at a particular moment, but the tension for them to happen builds up slowly and unnoticed.



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