Simplification as a Way to Deal with Chaotic Systems
Kingsmill, Consultant, United Kingdom
I agree with almost everything you say, except that I'm much more positive about simplification. In support, I'd like to cite the human brain, which has evolved lots of heuristics designed to "close it off from the complexities of outside connected systems". For example, we notice movement and sudden noises and accord them much more attention than stillness. There's an obvious survival benefit. Our brains ignore most of the information that's available to them.
I like your metaphor of the pebble in the pool, and I'd just point out that we ourselves (individuals and organisations) drop most of the pebbles that we're affected by. In other words, we may not be able to simplify the outside world, but (a) we can simplify ourselves (b) we can choose what externalities to focus on and which to ignore.
There's a very real adjacent point about mindfulness to be made too - about the virtue of becoming finely aware but not becoming attached to external 'reality'.